Volume 5 - Article 7 | Pages 217–244
Life expectancy in two Caucasian countries. How much due to overestimated population?
By Ruben Yeganyan, Irina Badurashvili, Evgeny M. Andreev, France Meslé, Vladimir Shkolnikov, Jacques Vallin
Abstract
This study is a first attempt to produce reliable estimates of mortality in Georgia and Armenia in the 1990s. Official statistics registered a decrease in mortality over the 1990s in spite of local wars, mass flows of refugees, and severe economic hardships faced by populations. According to official statistics, in 1999-2000 population size was about 5.4 millions in Georgia and about 3.8 millions in Armenia. Non-official estimates based on migration surveys are much lower: 4.0-4.1 millions and 3.0 millions, respectively. This huge difference is mostly due to unregistered out-migration.
In addition to corrections in population, corrections are made for under-registration of deaths. Hospital statistics is used for infant deaths and the Coale-Demeny model life tables are used for ages above 70. In Georgia, the introduction of payment for the declaration of vital events resulted in a greater under-registration of deaths than in Armenia.
Modified populations, mortality and life expectancy values are produced for the 1990s. In 1999 life expectancy was 68.6 and 75.6 for males and females in Georgia and 68.7 and 75.4 for males and females in Armenia. These figures are lower than the official estimates by 5.2 and 5.6 years for males and females in Georgia and by 3.8 and 1.7 years for males and females in Armenia. After corrections Caucasian male life expectancy is higher than in other post-Soviet countries.
Author's Affiliation
- Ruben Yeganyan - Ministry of Finance and Economy, Armenia, Armenia EMAIL
- Irina Badurashvili - Georgian Centre of Population Research (GCPR), Georgia EMAIL
- Evgeny M. Andreev - New Economic School, Russian Federation EMAIL
- France Meslé - Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED), France EMAIL
- Vladimir Shkolnikov - Max-Planck-Institut für Demografische Forschung, Germany EMAIL
- Jacques Vallin - Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED), France EMAIL
Other articles by the same author/authors in Demographic Research
Geographical diversity of cause-of-death patterns and trends in Russia
Volume 12 - Article 13
Adult mortality patterns in the former Soviet Union’s southern tier: Armenia and Georgia in comparative perspective
Volume 36 - Article 19
Mortality in the Caucasus: An attempt to re-estimate recent mortality trends in Armenia and Georgia
Volume 22 - Article 23
The question of the human mortality plateau: Contrasting insights by longevity pioneers
Volume 48 - Article 11
Components and possible determinants of decrease in Russian mortality in 2004-2010
Volume 28 - Article 32
Estimates of mortality and population changes in England and Wales over the two World Wars
Volume 13 - Article 16
Gini coefficient as a life table function: Computation from discrete data, decomposition of differences and empirical examples
Volume 8 - Article 11
Convergences and divergences in mortality: A new approach of health transition
Special Collection 2 - Article 2
Two-dimensional contour decomposition: Decomposing mortality differences into initial difference and trend components by age and cause of death
Volume 50 - Article 41
Frailty at death: An examination of multiple causes of death in four low mortality countries in 2017
Volume 49 - Article 2
Socio-economic determinants of divorce in Lithuania: Evidence from register-based census-linked data
Volume 33 - Article 30
Average age at death in infancy and infant mortality level: Reconsidering the Coale-Demeny formulas at current levels of low mortality
Volume 33 - Article 13
Revisiting the mortality of France and Italy with the multiple-cause-of-death approach
Volume 23 - Article 28
Official population statistics and the Human Mortality Database estimates of populations aged 80+ in Germany and nine other European countries
Volume 13 - Article 14
Introduction to the Special Collection “Human Mortality over Age, Time, Sex, and Place:
The 1st HMD Symposium”
Volume 13 - Article 10
A summary of Special Collection 2: Determinants of Diverging Trends in Mortality
Volume 10 - Article 12
Educational differentials in male mortality in Russia and northern Europe: A comparison of an epidemiological cohort from Moscow and St. Petersburg with the male populations of Helsinki and Oslo
Volume 10 - Article 1
Russian mortality beyond vital statistics: Effects of social status and behaviours on deaths from circulatory disease and external causes - a case-control study of men aged 20-55 years in Urdmurtia, 1998-99
Special Collection 2 - Article 4
Mortality in Central and Eastern Europe: Long-term trends and recent upturns
Special Collection 2 - Article 3
Introduction to the Special Collection of papers on "Determinants of diverging trends in mortality"
Special Collection 2 - Article 1
Most recent similar articles in Demographic Research
Excess mortality associated with HIV: Survey estimates from the PHIA project
Volume 51 - Article 38
| Keywords:
excess mortality,
HIV/AIDS,
mortality
A Bayesian model for age at death with cohort effects
Volume 51 - Article 33
| Keywords:
age at death,
Bayesian approach,
cohort effects,
Italy,
mortality
On the relationship between life expectancy, modal age at death, and the threshold age of the life table entropy
Volume 51 - Article 24
| Keywords:
Gompertz law,
life expectancy,
lifespan variation,
longevity,
mode,
mortality
The role of sex and age in seasonal mortality – the case of Poland
Volume 51 - Article 17
| Keywords:
mortality,
Poland,
seasonality,
sex differences
A multidimensional global migration model for use in cohort-component population projections
Volume 51 - Article 11
| Keywords:
age dependency,
education,
international migration,
migration,
modelling,
population projection,
projections
Download to Citation Manager
PubMed
Google Scholar