Volume 21 - Article 14 | Pages 385–426  

150 Years of temperature-related excess mortality in the Netherlands

By Peter Ekamper, Frans van Poppel, Coen van Duin, Joop Garssen

Abstract

Even in present-day high-income countries, there is a lot of evidence of a high degree of vulnerability of the population to both high and low outdoor temperatures. The magnitude of temperature-related mortality is strongly related to a wide variety of social, economic, and behavioural factors. To gain insight into the changing impact of cold and heat on mortality, we analyze Dutch individual death records in relation to daily temperature for the period 1855-2006 for one of the 11 Dutch provinces. Making use of negative binomial regression analysis, we study whether the effect of temperature varied by age, sex, and social class, and analyze the changes in the vulnerability to temperature fluctuations.

Author's Affiliation

• Peter Ekamper - Nederlands Interdisciplinair Demografisch Instituut (NIDI), the Netherlands EMAIL
• Frans van Poppel - Nederlands Interdisciplinair Demografisch Instituut (NIDI), the Netherlands EMAIL
• Coen van Duin - Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek (CBS), the Netherlands EMAIL
• Joop Garssen - Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek (CBS), the Netherlands EMAIL

Other articles by the same author/authors in Demographic Research

Spatial inequalities in infant survival at an early stage of the longevity revolution: A pan-European view across 5000+ regions and localities in 1910
Volume 30 - Article 68

Impact of different mortality forecasting methods and explicit assumptions on projected future life expectancy: The case of the Netherlands
Volume 29 - Article 13

Mortality decline and reproductive change during the Dutch demographic transition: Revisiting a traditional debate with new data
Volume 27 - Article 11

Fertility of Turkish and Moroccan women in the Netherlands: Adjustment to native level within one generation
Volume 19 - Article 33

The Netherlands: Childbearing within the context of a "Poldermodel" society
Volume 19 - Article 21

Perinatal mortality in the Netherlands. Backgrounds of a worsening international ranking
Volume 11 - Article 13

The Netherlands:Paradigm or Exception in Western Europe’s Demography?
Volume 7 - Article 12

Most recent similar articles in Demographic Research

Excess mortality associated with HIV: Survey estimates from the PHIA project
Volume 51 - Article 38    | Keywords: excess mortality, HIV/AIDS, mortality

A Bayesian model for age at death with cohort effects
Volume 51 - Article 33    | Keywords: age at death, Bayesian approach, cohort effects, Italy, mortality

Higher incomes are increasingly associated with higher fertility: Evidence from the Netherlands, 2008–2022
Volume 51 - Article 26    | Keywords: fertility, income, inequalities, Netherlands, parenthood

On the relationship between life expectancy, modal age at death, and the threshold age of the life table entropy
Volume 51 - Article 24    | Keywords: Gompertz law, life expectancy, lifespan variation, longevity, mode, mortality

The role of sex and age in seasonal mortality – the case of Poland
Volume 51 - Article 17    | Keywords: mortality, Poland, seasonality, sex differences