Volume 38 - Article 40 | Pages 1189–1240  

Measuring and explaining the baby boom in the developed world in the mid-twentieth century

By Jesús J. Sánchez-Barricarte

References

Albanesi, S. and Olivetti, C. (2014). Maternal health and the baby boom. Quantitative Economics 5(2): 225–269.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Andreev, E., Darskij, L., and Kharkova, T. (1992). L’histoire de la population de l’URSS, 1920–1959. Annales de Demographie Historique : 61–150.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Bogue, D. (1993). Empirical interrelationships among standard fertility measures: Readings in population research methodology. In: Bogue, D., Arriaga, E., Anderton, D., and Rumsey, R. (eds.). Fertility research. Chicago: Social Development Center: 11–53.

Download reference:

Bongaarts, J. and Feeney, G. (1998). On the quantum and tempo of fertility. Population and Development Review 24(2): 271–291.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Brundorg, H. (1988). Cohort and period fertility for Norway, 1845–1985 [electronic resource]. Oslo: Statistisk Sentralbyra.

Cachinero Sánchez, B. (1982). La evolución de la nupcialidad en España (1887–1975). Revista Española de Investigaciones Sociológicas 20(82): 81–99.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Caldwell, J.C. (1984). Fertility trends and prospects in Australia and other industrialised countries. Journal of Sociology 20(3): 3–22.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Caldwell, J.C. (2006). The western fertility decline: Reflections from a chronological perspective. Journal of Population Research 23: 225–242.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Calot, G. (1998). Two centuries of Swiss demographic history: Graphic album of the 1860–2050 period. Neuchâtel: Swiss Federal Statistical Office.

Download reference:

Carter, S. (2006). Historical statistics of the United States: Earliest times to the present. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Download reference:

Chesnais, J. (1992). The demographic transition: Stages, patterns, and economic implications. New York: Oxford University Press.

Download reference:

Coale, A. and Watkins, S. (1986). The decline of fertility in Europe. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

Download reference:

Davis, K. (1945). The world demographic transition. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 237: 1–11.

Weblink:
Download reference:

De Cooman, E., Ermisch, J., and Joshi, H. (1987). The next birth and the labour market: A dynamic model of births in England and Wales. Population Studies 41(2): 237–268.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Doepke, M., Hazan, M., and Maoz, Y.D. (2015). The baby boom and World War II: A macroeconomic analysis. Review of Economic Studies 82(3): 1031–1073.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Easterlin, R. (1975). An economic framework for fertility analysis. Studies in Family Planning 6(3): 54–63.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Easterlin, R. (1987). Birth and fortune: The impact of numbers on personal welfare. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Download reference:

Easterlin, R. (1966). Economic-demographic interactions and long swings in economic growth. The American Economic Review 56(5): 1063–1104.

Download reference:

Easterlin, R. (1965). Long swings in U.S. demographic and economic growth: Some findings on the historical pattern. Demography 2: 490–507.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Easterlin, R. (1961). The American baby boom in historical perspective. The American Economic Review 51(5): 869–911.

Download reference:

Emeka, A.S. (2006). Birth, fortune, and discrepant fertility in twentieth-century America. Social Science History 30(327–357).

Weblink:
Download reference:

Europe, Council of (2003). Recent demographic developments in Europe. Strasbourg: Council of Europe.

Download reference:

Festy, P. (1979). La fécondité des pays occidentaux de 1870 à 1970. Paris: INED/Presses Universitaires de France.

Download reference:

Fitch, C. and Ruggles, S. (2000). Historical trends in marriage formation: The United States 1850–1990. In: Waite, L.J. (ed.). The ties that bind: Perspectives on marriage and cohabitation. New York: Aldine de Gruyter: 59–88.

Download reference:

Frejka, T. (2011). The role of contemporary childbearing postponement and recuperation in shaping period fertility trends. Comparative Population Studies 36(4): 927–958.

Download reference:

Frejka, T. and Sardon, J.-P. (2004). Childbearing trends and prospects in low-fertility countries: A cohort analysis. London: Kluwer.

Download reference:

Greenwood, J., Seshadri, A., and Vandenbroucke, G. (2005). The baby boom and baby bust. The American Economic Review 95(1): 183–207.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Guinnane, T., Okun, B., and Trussell, J. (1994). What do we know about the timing of fertility transitions in Europe? Demography 31(1): 1–20.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Hacker, D. (2016). Ready, willing and able? Impediments to onset of marital fertility decline in the United States. Demography 53(6): 1657–1692.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Haines, M. (1996). Long-term marriage patterns in the United States from colonial times to the present. The History of the Family 1(1): 15–39.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Herzer, D., Strulik, H., and Vollmer, S. (2012). The long-run determinants of fertility: One century of demographic change 1900–1999. Journal of Economic Growth 17: 357–385.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Heuser, R. (1976). Fertility tables for birth cohorts by color. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare (DHEW Publication No. HRA 76-1152).

Download reference:

Jones, L. and Schoonbroodt, A. (2016). Baby bust and baby booms: The fertility response to shocks in dynastic models. Review of Economic Dynamics 22: 157–178.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Kippen, R. (2003). Trends in age- and parity-specific fertility in Australia. Canberra: Research School of Social Sciences, Australian National University (Working Papers in Demography, No. 91).

Download reference:

Kollega, T.I. (1996). Hungary in the 20th century: Magyarország a XX. Században: Babits.

Download reference:

Lindert, P. (2004). Growing public: Social spending and economic growth since the eighteenth century. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Download reference:

Lindert, P. (1994). The rise of social spending, 1880–1930. Explorations in Economic History 31(1): 1–37.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Macunovich, D.J. (2002). Birth quake: The baby boom and its aftershocks. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Macunovich, D.J. (1996). Relative income and price of time: Exploring their effects on US fertility and female labor force participation. Population and Development Review 22(Supplement): 223–257.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Murphy, K., Simon, C., and Tamura, R. (2008). Fertility decline, baby boom, and economic growth. Journal of Human Capital 2(3): 262–302.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Needleman, L. (1986). Canadian fertility trends in perspective. Journal of Biosocial Science 18(1): 43–56.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Nicolau, R. (2005). Población, salud y actividad. In: Carreras, A. and Tafunell, X. (eds.). Estadísticas históricas de España: Siglos XIX y XX. Madrid: Fundación BBVA: 77–144.

Download reference:

Notestein, F. (1945). Population: The long view. In: Schultz, T. (ed.). Food for the world. Chicago: Chicago University Press.

Download reference:

Notestein, F., Taeuber, I., Coale, A., Kirk, D., and Kiser, L. (1944). La population future de l’Europe et de l’Union Soviétique: Perspectives démographiques 1940–1970. Geneva: Société des Nations.

Download reference:

Pouyez, C. and Lavoie, Y. (1983). Les saguenayens: Introduction à l’histoire des populations du Saguenay XVIe–XXe siècles. Sillery: Presses de l’Université du Québec.

Download reference:

Reher, D. (2015). Baby booms, busts, and population ageing in the developed world. Population Studies 69(S1): S57–S68.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Reher, D. and Requena, M. (2015). The mid-twentieth century fertility boom from a global perspective. The History of the Family 20(3): 420–445.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Reher, D., Sandström, G., Sanz-Gimeno, A., and van Poppel, F. (2017). Agency in fertility decisions in western Europe during the demographic transition: A comparative perspective. Demography 54(1): 3–22.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Russell, C. (2006). The baby boom: Americans born 1946 to 1964. Ithaca: New Strategist Publications.

Download reference:

Ryder, N. (1978). A model of fertility by planning status. Demography 15(4): 433–458.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Ryder, N. (1980). Components of temporal variations in American fertility. In: Hiorns, R.W. (ed.). Demographic patterns in developed societies. London: Taylor and Francis: 15–54.

Download reference:

Ryder, N. (1979). The future of American fertility. Social Problems 26(3): 359–370.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Sánchez-Barricarte, J.J. (2017b). Measuring and explaining the marriage boom in the developed world. The History of the Family 23(1): 90–108.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Sánchez-Barricarte, J.J. (2017a). Mortality–fertility synergies during the demographic transition in the developed world. Population Studies 71(2): 155–170.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Sánchez-Barricarte, J.J. (2017c). The long-term determinants of marital fertility in the developed world (19th and 20th centuries): The role of welfare policies. Demographic Research 36(42): 1255–1298.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Sandström, G. (2014). The mid-twentieth century baby boom in Sweden: Changes in the educational gradient of fertility for women born 1915–1950. The History of the Family 19(1): 120–140.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Sardon, J.-P. (2006). Fertility in the developed English-speaking countries outside Europe: Canada, United States, Australia and New Zealand. Population 61: 267–292.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Sardon, J-P. (1996). Coale’s indices, comparative indices, mean generation, total fertility rate and components. Population 8: 252257.

Download reference:

Sardon, J-P. (1991). Generation replacement in Europe since 1900. Population 3: 15–32.

Download reference:

Sauvy, A. (1948). La reprise de la natalité dans le monde: Ses causes, ses chances de durée. Population 3(2): 249–270.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Schellekens, J. and van Poppel, F. (2012). Marital fertility decline in the Netherlands: Child mortality, real wages, and unemployment, 1860–1939. Demography 49(3): 965–988.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Simon, C. and Tamura, R. (2009). Do higher rents discourage fertility? Evidence from U.S. cities, 1940–2000. Regional Science and Urban Economics 39(1): 33–42.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Statistiska Centralbyrå (1969). Fertility of birth cohorts of Swedish women, 1870–1940. Stockholm: Statistiska meddelanden.

Download reference:

Taeuber, I. (1958). The population of Japan. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

Download reference:

Tamura, R. and Simon, C. (2017). Secular fertility declines, baby booms, and economic growth: International evidence. Macroeconomic Dynamics 21(7): 1601–1672.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Tamura, R., Simon, C., and Murphy, K. (2016). Black and white fertility, differential baby booms: The value of equal education opportunity. Journal of Demographic Economics 82(1): 27–109.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Turpeinen, O. (1979). Fertility and mortality in Finland since 1750. Population Studies 33(1): 101–114.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Van Bavel, J. (2010). Subreplacement fertility in the west before the baby boom: Past and current perspectives. Population Studies 64(1): 1–18.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Van Bavel, J. and Reher, D. (2013). The baby boom and its causes: What we know and what we need to know. Population and Development Review 39(2): 257–288.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Van de Walle, F. (1986). Infant mortality and the European demographic transition. In: Coale, A. and Watkins, S. (eds.). The decline of fertility in Europe. Princeton: Princeton University Press: 201–233.

Download reference:

Van Poppel, F., Reher, D., Sanz-Gimeno, A., Sánchez-Domínguez, M., and Beekink, E. (2012). Mortality decline and reproductive change during the Dutch demographic transition: Revisiting a traditional debate with new data. Demographic Research 27(11): 299–338.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Vishnevsky, A.G. (2006). Demographic modernization of Russia, 1900–2000. New Publishing House.

Download reference:

Wadhera, S. and Strachan, J. (1993). Selected birth and fertility statistics, Canada, 1921–1990. Ottawa: Statistics Canada, Canadian Centre for Health Information.

Download reference:

Weir, D. (1994). New estimates of nuptiality and marital fertility in France, 1740–1911. Population Studies 48(2): 307–331.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Back to the article