Volume 26 - Article 1 | Pages 1–40  

The influence of employment uncertainty on childbearing in France: A tempo or quantum effect?

By Ariane Pailhé, Anne Solaz

This article is part of the Special Collection 12 "Economic uncertainty and family dynamics in Europe"

Abstract

This paper investigates whether unemployment and insecure employment periods merely delay fertility or also impact on completed fertility in France. It analyses both the timing of first childbearing and the fertility reached at age 40. Different indicators of declining employment security are used, i.e. current individual employment characteristics, the accumulation of unstable jobs, and aggregate-level indicators of employment uncertainty. Male unemployment has a negative influence on the timing of first childbearing, while periods of insecure employment delay fertility for women. Completed fertility is impacted by unemployment spells only for men who have faced long-term unemployment. Employment uncertainty thus tends to delay first parenthood but has a relatively weak effect on lifetime fertility in France. Generous state support to families associated with a generous unemployment insurance system, and the strong French two-child family norm may explain why economic uncertainty affects fertility less than elsewhere.

Author's Affiliation

• Ariane Pailhé - Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED), France EMAIL
• Anne Solaz - Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED), France EMAIL

Other articles by the same author/authors in Demographic Research

Generations and Gender Survey (GGS): Towards a better understanding of relationships and processes in the life course
Volume 17 - Article 14

‘Will the one who keeps the children keep the house?’ Residential mobility after divorce by parenthood status and custody arrangements in France
Volume 40 - Article 14

Co-ethnic marriage versus intermarriage among immigrants and their descendants: A comparison across seven European countries using event-history analysis
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Social policies, separation, and second birth spacing in Western Europe
Volume 37 - Article 37

The convergence of second-generation immigrants' fertility patterns in France: The role of sociocultural distance between parents' and host country
Volume 36 - Article 45

Partnership dynamics across generations of immigration in France: Structural vs. cultural factors
Volume 33 - Article 16

Economic Uncertainty and Family Dynamics in Europe: Introduction
Volume 27 - Article 28

France: High and stable fertility
Volume 19 - Article 16

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