TY - JOUR A1 - Sweeting, P.J. T1 - A Trend-Change Extension of the Cairns–Blake–Dowd Model Y1 - 2011 DO - 10.1017/S1748499511000017 UR - https://doi.org/10.1017/S1748499511000017 VL - 5 IS - 2 SP - 143 EP - -162 ER -