@article{Spiegelhalter2002,
author = {Spiegelhalter, D.J. and Best, N.G. and Carlin, B.P. and Van Der Linde, A. },
title= {Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit},
year = {2002},
doi = {10.1111/1467-9868.00353},
journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B },
volume = {64},
number = {4},
pages = {583--639},
}