@article{Spiegelhalter2001, author = {Spiegelhalter, D. and Best, N. and Carlin, B. and van der Linde, A.}, title= {Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit}, year = {2001}, doi = {10.1111/1467-9868.00353}, journal = {Journal of the Royal Statististical Society, Series B}, volume = {64}, number = {4}, pages = {583--639}, }