Volume 21 - Article 25 | Pages 759–764  

The metastable birth trajectory

By Robert Schoen

This article is part of the ongoing Special Collection 8 "Formal Relationships"

Abstract

The metastable model generalizes the stable population model by allowing net maternity to change exponentially over age and time. As a result, the metastable model generates an exponentially quadratic birth trajectory, which is characterized by a constant proportion of births by age of mother. The metastable model is well suited to analyzing steady fertility declines and transitions between two regimes of fixed vital rates.

Author's Affiliation

• Robert Schoen - Pennsylvania State University, United States of America EMAIL

Other articles by the same author/authors in Demographic Research

Analyzing hyperstable population models
Volume 49 - Article 37

A dynamic birth-death model via Intrinsic Linkage
Volume 28 - Article 35

Age-specific growth, reproductive values, and intrinsic r
Volume 24 - Article 33

A behaviorally-based approach to measuring inequality
Volume 19 - Article 49

Changing mortality and average cohort life expectancy
Volume 13 - Article 5

Age-specific contributions to changes in the period and cohort life expectancy
Volume 13 - Article 3

Intrinsically dynamic population models
Volume 12 - Article 3

A diminishing population whose every cohort more than replaces itself
Volume 9 - Article 6

Estimating multistate transition rates from population distributions
Volume 9 - Article 1

On the Impact of Spatial Momentum
Volume 6 - Article 3

Toward a General Model for Populations with Changing Rates
Volume 4 - Article 6

Most recent similar articles in Demographic Research

Population aging caused by a rise in the sex ratio at birth
Volume 43 - Article 32    | Keywords: models, population aging, sex ratio at birth, stable population

A dynamic birth-death model via Intrinsic Linkage
Volume 28 - Article 35    | Keywords: birth-death models, cyclical stability, dynamic population models, Leslie matrices, metastable

Age-specific growth, reproductive values, and intrinsic r
Volume 24 - Article 33    | Keywords: age-specific growth, intrinsic r, population momentum, reproductive value, stable equivalent, stable population

The effect of changes in fertility on the age distribution of stable populations
Volume 20 - Article 24    | Keywords: age distribution, population dynamics, stable population

Intrinsically dynamic population models
Volume 12 - Article 3    | Keywords: dynamic models, dynamic population models, eigenvalues, Leslie matrices, population momentum